SaulTNuts
0xda4d6c236cc356758246615f06f48cdd2be1217a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $440.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.87at 0.443Rockets vs. 76ers
- +$44.02at 0.842Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
- +$35.37at 0.212Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$32.19at 0.770Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$20.13at 0.852Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 19:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.3093812313 | $25.00 |
| 03-14 19:51 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.77 | $76.98 |
| 03-14 19:49 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8071927943 | $38.18 |
| 02-25 15:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.16 |
| 02-05 02:23 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | SELL | 0.8574 | $8.57 |
| 02-05 02:11 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 02-05 02:11 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | SELL | 0.73 | $8.03 |
| 02-05 02:10 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | BUY | 0.56 | $6.16 |
| 02-05 02:09 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | SELL | 0.7 | $15.40 |
| 02-05 02:08 | Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers | SELL | 0.09 | $0.09 |
| 02-05 02:06 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 02-05 02:05 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | BUY | 0.789 | $7.89 |
| 02-05 02:01 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | BUY | 0.35 | $3.15 |
| 02-05 02:01 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 02-05 01:58 | Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse | BUY | 0.24 | $0.74 |