Krisdevil2006
0xda4c5c8b13d5effd785357e3a4827d19ce99fffd
- Realised P&L
- $-286.09
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $12.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.740 | $11.10 | +$0.75 |
| Will Rachel peak at Category 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.155 | $1.55 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.65at 0.383Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
- +$96.22at 0.521Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
- +$75.73at 0.456Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$61.20at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$52.76at 0.472Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:56 | Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-30 09:55 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 09-28 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $15.99 |
| 09-28 01:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.81 |
| 09-22 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-21 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 09-05 02:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-05 01:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $76.50 |
| 09-05 01:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 01:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-04 01:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.40 |
| 09-03 12:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 09-03 01:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 09-02 14:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 09-01 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |