Krisdevil2006
0xda4c5c8b13d5effd785357e3a4827d19ce99fffd
- Realised P&L
- $-127.92
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $83.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.92at 0.380Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
- +$98.73at 0.509Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
- +$61.20at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$42.95at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$42.15at 0.091Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 14:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $27.20 |
| 08-08 05:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.09 |
| 08-07 06:49 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.29 |
| 08-07 04:47 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 08-07 03:14 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $6.24 |
| 08-07 01:50 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.241 | $5.78 |
| 08-05 12:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 08-05 12:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $20.10 |
| 08-04 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.148 | $4.44 |
| 08-04 01:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $19.90 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 07-31 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 07-31 14:15 | Will Trump say "Putin" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.71 |
| 07-14 11:05 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.617 | $12.34 |
| 07-14 11:05 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.616 | $57.08 |