0xda4b6a5942d6d113af06ed1ba17ac71735e7180a
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unknown — No blocker in what little is known, but the signals that catch a lucky streak are missing. Inspect the wallet directly before drawing a conclusion.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.99at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$33.73at 0.507Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
- +$32.18at 0.615Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$30.35at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$29.12at 0.126Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 11-02 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 11-02 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.154 | $1.23 |
| 11-02 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-02 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 11-01 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $6.37 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |