PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xda4b6a5942d6d113af06ed1ba17ac71735e7180a

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unknown — No blocker in what little is known, but the signals that catch a lucky streak are missing. Inspect the wallet directly before drawing a conclusion.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.2970.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.6700.000$0.00−$6.03
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.1230.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Down0.5740.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$20.00
Mexico leading at halftime? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSELL0.16$2.00
11-02 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.32$4.00
11-02 18:11Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
11-02 13:48Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.92$4.60
11-02 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.4399999883$3.00
11-02 12:19Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.2399999808$2.00
11-02 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.2799999664$2.00
11-02 10:16Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 2?BUY0.154$1.23
11-02 10:11Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2?SELL0.991$4.96
11-02 07:20Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2?BUY0.39$1.95
11-01 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSELL0.01$0.06
11-01 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.5099999949$3.00
11-01 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.4699999796$3.00
11-01 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSELL0.999$6.37
11-01 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.4699999796$3.00