flyingkite
0xda4555088f8936311ee1fce810eec3120f31d95b
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $250.9k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.195US-China trade deal before June?
- +$887.71at 0.090Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?
- +$448.80at 0.280Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
- +$227.12at 0.090Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May?
- +$174.17at 0.239Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 23:28 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-08 23:25 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 10-08 23:24 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 10-08 23:19 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 23:09 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.89 |
| 10-08 23:00 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 10-08 22:59 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 10-08 22:58 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-08 18:54 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-08 18:43 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 21:19 | Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | BUY | 0.45 | $93.60 |
| 10-06 08:44 | Mamdani visits the White House by October 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $126.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $108.38 |
| 10-04 05:01 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2547283156 | $32.86 |
| 10-03 21:43 | Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77500998 | $7.77 |