totalost801
0xda39194d075955d34aea74e557470ae6e44eb4aa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $187.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,563
- Open portfolio
- $21.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,563
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.17at 0.197Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
- +$56.21at 0.052Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$42.54at 0.331Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$38.30at 0.042Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$37.90at 0.102Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.89 |
| 10-15 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 16:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999904 | $6.97 |
| 10-12 14:25 | Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 14:25 | LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 04:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |