0xf6a01d1a126d1f003dD85BAd69cA3F33714E1ec2-1774406065009
0xda361d4136045ca93c0809f9fe264023d7accb77
- Realised P&L
- $-22.49
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.074 | $6.11 | −$0.39 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$6.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.78at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$18.87at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$12.76at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$4.21at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$3.12at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 08:55 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0229999967 | $6.63 |
| 09-06 08:47 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.0786973075 | $6.50 |
| 08-18 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999953 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $4.41 |
| 08-18 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3613281168 | $25.00 |
| 08-18 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $5.81 |
| 08-18 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4283278031 | $25.00 |
| 08-18 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 11:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |