0xda34423c4aa818a0e65b9fb1966901e3f14db1de
0xda34423c4aa818a0e65b9fb1966901e3f14db1de
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 6,204
- Open portfolio
- $288.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.009Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
- +$580.01at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$538.81at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$428.28at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$396.45at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:51 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | BUY | 0.4862737587 | $13.05 |
| 09-25 06:44 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.9444255319 | $22.19 |
| 09-25 01:22 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.67 |
| 09-24 21:35 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.71 |
| 09-24 21:18 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 31m? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.14 |
| 09-24 21:17 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 31m? | BUY | 0.9199999919 | $4.53 |
| 09-24 20:12 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.19 |
| 09-24 18:46 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.15 |
| 09-24 18:19 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.83 |
| 09-24 15:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.01 |
| 09-24 15:15 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.17 |
| 09-24 15:15 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.63 |
| 09-24 14:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.11 |
| 09-24 13:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 13:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $19.25 |