PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1e6x

0xda2e460c6555463fa5105ecf675e3a65e1746c83

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$177.4k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2471.000$13.7k+$10.3k
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1150.004$44.36−$1.2k
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0320.001$3.92−$245.07
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$946.32
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$350.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.3380.000$0.00−$25.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$2.3k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.0780.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$1.7k
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) · TheMongolz0.4580.000$0.00−$96.67
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$32.09
Bucks vs. Magic · Magic0.2300.000$0.00−$3.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.0779931834$100.00
09-18 08:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.5846101836$337.21
07-29 22:56Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.1194112956$727.17
06-12 18:58Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0251636622$638.41
06-09 05:12Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.019709984$307.96
06-09 05:11Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0317867118$248.99
04-12 01:35Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.47$940.00
04-12 01:34Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.338$25.05
03-28 01:03US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.61$2.3k
03-28 00:21Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1752627184$1.5k
03-02 03:45Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.16$495.29
03-02 03:43Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.151462923$438.43
03-02 03:08Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.14$26.60
02-28 01:57US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.84$8.40
02-17 04:53Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?BUY0.15$60.95