PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Appppping

0xda2aee79f79e23991e35c07a00de2d0d1e152f33

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$99.4k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.8600.972$2.5k+$290.09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.5710.669$937.25+$137.26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9300.925$925.00−$5.00
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? · Yes0.3630.385$152.73+$8.85
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? · No0.9560.712$44.11−$15.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$134.97
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2940.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$150.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? · Yes0.5620.000$0.00−$100.00
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Yes0.5950.000$0.00−$241.69
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$99.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 04:17Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?BUY0.37$111.00
10-05 15:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.93$930.00
10-05 11:22Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?BUY0.34$32.88
10-05 10:56Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?BUY0.979$20.56
10-03 03:44Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?BUY0.9448780488$38.74
09-25 08:44Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9874089633$902.83
09-22 14:57Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.969$389.00
09-22 09:55Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5710297716$800.00
09-22 09:23Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.005238843$4.39
09-22 09:21Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9738880889$876.50
09-22 09:19Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8759008571$1.2k
09-22 09:18Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9717386829$4.0k
09-21 05:38Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.002$0.85
09-08 06:21Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.841047433$999.00
09-08 06:08Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9588153359$108.05