Appppping
0xda2aee79f79e23991e35c07a00de2d0d1e152f33
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $99.4k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$367.40at 0.137Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?
- +$354.38at 0.802Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$351.43at 0.442Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
- +$258.93at 0.616Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$212.50at 0.320US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:17 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 10-05 15:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 10-05 11:22 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $32.88 |
| 10-05 10:56 | Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $20.56 |
| 10-03 03:44 | Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | BUY | 0.9448780488 | $38.74 |
| 09-25 08:44 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9874089633 | $902.83 |
| 09-22 14:57 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $389.00 |
| 09-22 09:55 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5710297716 | $800.00 |
| 09-22 09:23 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.005238843 | $4.39 |
| 09-22 09:21 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9738880889 | $876.50 |
| 09-22 09:19 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8759008571 | $1.2k |
| 09-22 09:18 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9717386829 | $4.0k |
| 09-21 05:38 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.85 |
| 09-08 06:21 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.841047433 | $999.00 |
| 09-08 06:08 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9588153359 | $108.05 |