PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdA2Ae14c0BfF5AaFcAc4cCd321FF2f6f1f624fec-1760007392593

0xda2ae14c0bff5aafcac4ccd321ff2f6f1f624fec

Realised P&L
$-191.00
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$39.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3300.515$10.30+$3.70
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yes0.8600.978$9.78+$1.18
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat? · Yes0.8700.930$9.30+$0.60
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.3000.355$7.10+$1.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0540.096$1.92+$0.84
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat? · Yes0.1080.061$0.61$0.47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.2060.026$0.53$3.59
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yes0.1300.021$0.21$1.09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.0990.009$0.19$1.79
Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-03-29? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$91.34
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$8.50
Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$0.50
Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$0.05
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-03-29? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$108.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 02:51Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?BUY0.13$1.30
07-09 02:51Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?BUY0.86$8.60
07-09 01:54Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?BUY0.108$1.08
07-09 01:54Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?BUY0.87$8.70
07-08 13:06Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.33$6.60
07-08 13:05Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?BUY0.3$6.00
07-08 13:05Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?BUY0.099$1.98
07-08 12:53Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?BUY0.054$1.08
07-08 12:53Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?BUY0.206$4.12
07-08 08:19Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?SELL0.004$0.40
07-08 08:13Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?BUY0.011$1.10
06-20 02:53Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.47$7.99
06-19 14:16Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?SELL0.04$15.20
06-19 12:07Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?SELL0.039$7.80
04-13 10:55Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying LeopardsBUY0.3699998631$0.96