AlphaGang
0xda28ad5effbe5a9c405aa2e6e7c3e9748ccc469b
- Realised P&L
- $-410.74
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $889.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.969 | 0.879 | $363.05 | −$36.95 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.115 | $214.83 | −$185.17 |
| Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.927 | 0.956 | $182.18 | +$5.36 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.430 | $86.83 | +$6.83 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $42.31 | −$12.69 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$172.16 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · No | 0.836 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.05at 0.629Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-0.10at 0.144Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-84.46at 0.268Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:36 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999986 | $172.16 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.22 |
| 07-19 19:32 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6819802632 | $103.66 |
| 07-07 18:33 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.08 |
| 07-07 18:31 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.05 | $19.15 |
| 07-07 18:31 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.969 | $400.00 |
| 07-07 06:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 13:55 | Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.971 | $24.27 |
| 07-03 21:21 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.10 |
| 07-03 21:16 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.8358208952 | $150.00 |
| 07-03 21:14 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 21:13 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 21:12 | Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9273616558 | $200.00 |
| 07-03 21:11 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 21:07 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6200956572 | $100.00 |