zn92
0xda1948d25c0103a5aa3bc8cb9c62c48cb9413113
- Realised P&L
- $-179.81
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $14.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.75at 0.439Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$36.66at 0.230Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$12.10at 0.144Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.67at 0.119Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$5.72at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:12 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:11 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 23:05 | Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | BUY | 0.1031667368 | $1.62 |
| 08-26 22:43 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 22:39 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.06 | $10.20 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2092257951 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 14:22 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.12 |
| 06-11 14:14 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.50 |
| 06-11 14:10 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.47 |
| 06-11 14:09 | Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 06-11 13:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.087 | $8.70 |
| 06-11 13:58 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $10.90 |
| 06-11 13:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.161 | $16.10 |
| 04-19 17:01 | Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.189 | $16.64 |