31415926535897932384
0xda185c0a84d59cb503444440b19d9b5680034282
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $189.0k
- Markets traded
- 701
- Open portfolio
- $505.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded701
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.09at 0.842Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?
- +$80.88at 0.838Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?
- +$78.90at 0.915Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 12?
- +$71.56at 0.845Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?
- +$69.04at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.9568495935 | $117.69 |
| 10-09 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.966125314 | $199.99 |
| 10-09 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.9576826923 | $199.20 |
| 10-09 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.29 |
| 10-08 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9633285714 | $182.07 |
| 10-08 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $199.95 |
| 10-08 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9687491262 | $199.56 |
| 10-08 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9685575243 | $199.52 |
| 10-07 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 10-07 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $199.76 |
| 10-06 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.9491907143 | $199.33 |
| 10-06 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.9431099057 | $199.94 |
| 10-05 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.9374833663 | $94.69 |
| 10-05 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.8626393939 | $199.27 |
| 10-05 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.956315311 | $199.87 |