PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Guray

0xda179b2ebef1c02f50a28efd5dd57b3834ea9b48

Realised P&L
$-7.9k
Volume
$841.2k
Markets traded
1,136
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,136
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 0 - 3 Sabah FK? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$91.95
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00−$1.00
Will FC Kuressaare vs. Harju JK Laagri end in a draw? · Yes0.9130.000$0.00−$70.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$445.00
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$10.00
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? · Yes0.6610.000$0.00−$201.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Vietnam 2 - 2 Thailand? · No0.9620.000$0.00−$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 19:05Spread: Norway (-2.5)SELL0.47$517.00
09-24 18:56Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)BUY0.84$840.00
09-24 18:13Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)BUY0.82$820.00
09-24 18:12Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)BUY0.82$82.00
09-24 18:11Spread: Norway (-2.5)BUY0.83$830.00
09-24 18:10Spread: Norway (-2.5)BUY0.83$83.00
09-24 01:13Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin AguilarSELL0.7$63.49
09-24 00:44Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin AguilarBUY0.59$177.00
09-24 00:30New York Mets vs. Texas RangersBUY0.56$112.00
09-23 23:41Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5BUY0.7$70.00
09-23 18:51Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersSELL0.74$155.40
09-23 16:43Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.39$81.90
09-22 18:09Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.84$84.00
09-22 14:40Ankara: Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaBUY0.48$28.80
09-22 14:26Tolentino: Barbora Palicova vs Alicia Herrero LinanaSELL0.999$49.95