PolyBot

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Traders

Guray

0xda179b2ebef1c02f50a28efd5dd57b3834ea9b48

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$481.9k
Markets traded
715
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded715
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora? · No0.9851.000$800.61+$11.42
Exact Score: Carabobo FC 1 - 1 Trujillanos FC? · No0.9500.996$497.75+$22.75
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-08-04? · No0.8861.000$225.67+$25.67
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.9561.000$209.19+$9.19
Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora? · Yes0.8550.001$0.00$1.00
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 0 - 3 Sabah FK? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$91.95
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? · No0.8900.000$0.00$445.00
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$100.00
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$8.00
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? · Yes0.6610.000$0.00$201.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 23:42Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.8857924855$200.00
08-04 23:33Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora?BUY0.986$197.20
08-04 23:33Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora?BUY0.8549999743$1.00
08-04 23:32Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora?BUY0.985$1.00
08-04 23:32Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 1 - 3 Club Aurora?BUY0.985$591.00
08-04 22:43Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.96$100.00
08-04 22:43Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.9512108107$100.00
08-04 21:49Exact Score: Carabobo FC 1 - 1 Trujillanos FC?BUY0.95$475.00
08-04 20:16Exact Score: Thor Akureyri 1 - 2 Breidablik Kopavogur?BUY0.97$1.00
08-04 20:15Exact Score: Thor Akureyri 1 - 2 Breidablik Kopavogur?BUY0.97$97.00
08-04 20:05Exact Score: RU Saint-Gilloise 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?SELL0.9902452208$45.07
08-04 20:04Exact Score: RU Saint-Gilloise 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?SELL0.991$45.10
08-04 20:04Exact Score: RU Saint-Gilloise 3 - 3 FK Bodø/Glimt?SELL0.991$30.06
08-04 20:03Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.999$102.55
08-04 20:03Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.999$102.55
Trader Guray · PolyBot