recessionincoming
0xda1547a7c3e164f2b5a0e6693f2f32e21250f349
- Realised P&L
- $-12.4k
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.097 | $3.7k | −$7.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.061Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.567Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
- +$838.05at 0.547Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
- +$272.37at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$2.45at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:26 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.3941923416 | $1.3k |
| 05-11 07:26 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2998725058 | $2.1k |
| 05-08 03:17 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.83 | $6.3k |
| 05-08 03:16 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2768607079 | $666.00 |
| 05-07 08:31 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.83 | $2.8k |
| 05-07 08:29 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2951167147 | $666.00 |
| 05-04 09:43 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2756636495 | $470.67 |
| 05-04 08:21 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2747422431 | $2.5k |
| 05-04 08:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.2303544286 | $3.1k |
| 05-02 04:50 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2271776455 | $420.00 |
| 05-02 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5404487236 | $50.00 |
| 05-01 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $526.59 |
| 05-01 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $250.00 |
| 05-01 13:03 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.236575578 | $500.00 |
| 05-01 13:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.2288238525 | $300.00 |