Joselin.
0xda126512274c20d76dc237a73be2ba578f3ac39e
- Realised P&L
- $-22.43
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $2.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.470 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.626Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10PM ET
- +$2.72at 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12AM ET
- +$2.38at 0.962Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET
- +$1.88at 0.351Will Aston Villa win on 2026-10-02?
- +$1.37at 0.951Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:49 | Will Colombia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:59 | Will Suriname vs. Guatemala end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 23:45 | Will Suriname vs. Guatemala end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:29 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:28 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:28 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:24 | Will Aston Villa win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.91 |
| 10-02 20:13 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.11 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 19:33 | Will Aston Villa win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:33 | Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:31 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $2.55 |
| 10-02 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |