0xda0f158e84f019cd1d42e24ff5c7ccafaf351e1f
0xda0f158e84f019cd1d42e24ff5c7ccafaf351e1f
- Realised P&L
- $56.09
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $429.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.78at 0.335Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?
- +$3.04at 0.744Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 22?
- +$2.91at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 21?
- +$0.00at 0.394Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 23?
- +$-1.70at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1899999928 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2732694642 | $2.16 |
| 09-22 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.259999998 | $10.58 |
| 09-22 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.84 |
| 09-22 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4499999121 | $1.28 |
| 09-22 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5799999842 | $14.64 |
| 09-22 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3099999936 | $14.42 |
| 09-22 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1199999939 | $1.57 |
| 09-22 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $2.50 |
| 09-22 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4199999918 | $14.42 |
| 09-22 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.93 |
| 09-22 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2599999849 | $1.72 |
| 09-22 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5299999928 | $24.33 |
| 09-22 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.03 |
| 09-22 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |