jeansnake
0xda0a0d3030bd1fd31e3ff0d15b77a9fb123029f8
- Realised P&L
- $872.78
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $310.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $310.78 | −$2.06 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.50 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.31 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.69at 0.769Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
- +$152.40at 0.798Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$128.03at 0.750Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$117.03at 0.837Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$108.74at 0.847Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:49 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $312.84 |
| 09-27 20:29 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.04 | $24.59 |
| 09-27 14:53 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $418.00 |
| 09-26 20:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.99 | $28.28 |
| 09-26 20:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 20:25 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.7199999945 | $26.00 |
| 09-20 16:17 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $717.86 |
| 09-20 15:49 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9741378184 | $700.00 |
| 09-20 15:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $513.00 |
| 09-20 02:43 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $380.00 |
| 09-19 21:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $182.74 |
| 09-19 20:19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $150.00 |
| 09-19 15:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.74 |
| 09-19 02:43 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999979 | $35.00 |
| 09-18 20:57 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.13 |