0xda02b89bf1d8f79be60db921108236944fecc691
0xda02b89bf1d8f79be60db921108236944fecc691
- Realised P&L
- $-99.41
- Volume
- $580.16
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $116.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.180 | $30.50 | +$10.43 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? · No | 0.936 | 0.890 | $24.18 | −$1.26 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · No | 0.873 | 0.705 | $20.50 | −$4.88 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 2? · No | 0.860 | 0.785 | $15.44 | −$1.47 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.555 | $12.21 | +$2.97 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3? · No | 0.971 | 0.670 | $7.51 | −$3.38 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.185 | $6.33 | −$1.15 |
| Cardinals Team Total: O/U 26.5 · Under | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.40at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$10.37at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$2.33at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:30 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9699999961 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 07:13 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9718196394 | $5.94 |
| 10-01 06:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2185391749 | $7.48 |
| 10-01 04:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $9.24 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9399999967 | $11.52 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9332952863 | $13.92 |
| 09-30 23:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8599999949 | $16.91 |
| 09-30 22:23 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.118465322 | $20.07 |
| 09-30 20:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8727784252 | $25.38 |
| 09-27 09:30 | Cardinals Team Total: O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $124.50 |
| 09-24 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999976 | $38.88 |
| 09-24 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.649999996 | $24.12 |
| 09-24 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $12.28 |
| 09-24 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999847 | $9.80 |