PolyBot

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Traders

0xda02b89bf1d8f79be60db921108236944fecc691

0xda02b89bf1d8f79be60db921108236944fecc691

Realised P&L
$-99.41
Volume
$580.16
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$116.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-17.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2? · Yes0.1180.180$30.50+$10.43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2? · No0.9360.890$24.18−$1.26
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · No0.8730.705$20.50−$4.88
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 2? · No0.8600.785$15.44−$1.47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.4200.555$12.21+$2.97
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3? · No0.9710.670$7.51−$3.38
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2? · Yes0.2180.185$6.33−$1.15
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 26.5 · Under0.8000.000$0.00−$124.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:30Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.9699999961$4.95
10-01 07:13Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.9718196394$5.94
10-01 06:56Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.2185391749$7.48
10-01 04:19Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.42$9.24
10-01 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9399999967$11.52
10-01 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9332952863$13.92
09-30 23:11Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 2?BUY0.8599999949$16.91
09-30 22:23Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2?BUY0.118465322$20.07
09-30 20:17Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.8727784252$25.38
09-27 09:30Cardinals Team Total: O/U 26.5BUY0.8$124.50
09-24 08:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.7799999976$38.88
09-24 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.649999996$24.12
09-24 08:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL0.99$12.28
09-24 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.7899999847$9.80