discoCollier
0xd9fc8a5c93e8b62a7b261c7aee0757a2c1b1ffaa
- Realised P&L
- $0.17
- Volume
- $19.05
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $12.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.990 | 0.983 | $3.87 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.977 | 0.986 | $2.38 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.990 | $2.26 | −$0.01 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.992 | 0.997 | $1.97 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.989 | 0.991 | $1.54 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.953Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.962Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
- +$0.04at 0.980Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.02at 0.993Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9889999936 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 19:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.976999993 | $2.36 |
| 09-15 19:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.27 |
| 09-15 19:36 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9889999989 | $2.68 |
| 09-09 04:06 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9929999976 | $1.22 |
| 09-09 04:04 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.96 |
| 09-03 09:43 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9789999983 | $1.72 |
| 09-03 09:42 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9519999813 | $1.63 |
| 08-29 05:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.958999974 | $1.07 |
| 08-29 05:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.28 |