PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

discoCollier

0xd9fc8a5c93e8b62a7b261c7aee0757a2c1b1ffaa

Realised P&L
$0.17
Volume
$19.05
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$12.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9900.983$3.87$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? · No0.9770.986$2.38+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes0.9930.990$2.26$0.01
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9920.997$1.97+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No0.9890.991$1.54+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18?BUY0.9889999936$1.54
09-15 19:42Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?BUY0.976999993$2.36
09-15 19:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.993$2.27
09-15 19:36Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9889999989$2.68
09-09 04:06Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9929999976$1.22
09-09 04:04Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.992$1.96
09-03 09:43Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.9789999983$1.72
09-03 09:42Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.9519999813$1.63
08-29 05:41Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?BUY0.958999974$1.07
08-29 05:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.993$2.28