0xd9fa8Ed00D030133DE4C15c7208a5aF86013e9c2-1775861304378
0xd9fa8ed00d030133de4c15c7208a5af86013e9c2
- Realised P&L
- $-9.23
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.40at 0.045Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?
- +$4.78at 0.293US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.598Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?
- +$2.18at 0.390Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$1.70at 0.370Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 02:13 | Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170? | BUY | 0.4299998481 | $1.50 |
| 07-23 02:09 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | SELL | 0.423 | $1.05 |
| 07-22 19:46 | Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:40 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.58 |
| 07-14 20:43 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.4819998996 | $1.20 |
| 07-13 17:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 01:16 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.37 |
| 07-13 01:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.97 |
| 07-12 21:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 07-12 16:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 16:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.61 |
| 07-11 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.16 |