Not2nd
0xd9eadefe9c40085651be7e5b3c7f17b5c332b781
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $674.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,174
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,174
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.647 | 1.000 | $804.10 | +$283.84 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.485 | $110.29 | −$14.78 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.365 | $107.89 | −$33.99 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.150 | $5.04 | −$10.75 |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.86 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$389.03 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · Getafe CF | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$544.74 |
| BLAST Bounty: Liquid vs. FURIA · FURIA | 0.693 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · Cincinnati Reds | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.41 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.19 |
| Nuggets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$191.24 |
| Canucks vs. Stars · Stars | 0.605 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.93 |
| Flyers vs. Kraken · Flyers | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.03 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.495Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
- +$2.1kat 0.606Mavericks vs. Wizards
- +$1.8kat 0.288Rockies vs. Guardians
- +$1.7kat 0.469IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIA
- +$1.6kat 0.690Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:46 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $77.35 |
| 08-29 04:30 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $5.28 |
| 08-28 14:07 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $23.37 |
| 08-28 14:07 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $23.37 |
| 08-26 12:50 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $10.53 |
| 08-19 17:21 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $28.08 |
| 08-19 17:21 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $28.08 |
| 08-18 16:08 | Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $28.81 |
| 08-18 16:08 | Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $29.67 |
| 08-18 13:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $17.64 |
| 08-18 13:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $17.64 |
| 08-18 06:56 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $5.39 |
| 08-18 06:56 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $5.39 |
| 08-09 17:39 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $42.00 |
| 08-09 17:39 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $42.00 |