rosejennie
0xd9eac0edf9861dae7da7a7e7862eb07fd4c6c083
- Realised P&L
- $-59.73
- Volume
- $80.2k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$1.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$587.07at 0.621Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$99.07at 0.431Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$97.38at 0.242Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$42.81at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?
- +$37.95at 0.800Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 10-14 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-14 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-14 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 10-12 11:23 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 10-11 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-22 02:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $512.49 |
| 09-22 02:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $158.39 |
| 09-22 02:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $53.90 |
| 09-22 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $131.53 |
| 09-21 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $643.40 |
| 09-21 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $162.87 |
| 09-21 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $356.72 |
| 09-18 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $279.44 |
| 09-18 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $134.59 |