0xd9e8f4a7bfc02125af15d389db2da530a8f28de8
- Realised P&L
- $-20.65
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.004 | $0.09 | −$10.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.14at 0.230Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4?
- +$-0.22at 0.570DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
- +$-0.34at 0.034Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.58at 0.700Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
- +$-0.72at 0.007Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 19:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.76 |
| 03-04 19:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | BUY | 0.6999999581 | $3.34 |
| 03-04 04:36 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 03-04 04:35 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.58 |
| 03-04 04:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.60 |
| 03-04 04:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4? | BUY | 0.22999996 | $4.26 |
| 03-04 04:33 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.29 |
| 03-04 04:32 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.77 |
| 03-04 04:32 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.24 |
| 02-23 00:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.69 |
| 02-23 00:03 | Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.5406167499 | $10.70 |
| 02-22 23:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.63 |
| 02-21 20:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.033 | $10.96 |
| 02-21 20:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.034 | $11.30 |
| 02-21 18:17 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.43 | $52.89 |