PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

perlo34

0xd9e7df2d3ae388baef7ff8c6ef8ef5017bb07197

Realised P&L
$-48.74
Volume
$905.37
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$320.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9490.956$201.28+$1.28
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.8190.865$52.80+$2.80
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.8790.735$41.81$8.19
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7900.735$18.61$1.39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7800.925$4.26+$0.67
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6410.179$1.40$3.60
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No0.7500.000$0.00$13.28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.4200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 09:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.71$30.86
07-25 09:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.428$17.98
07-25 09:08Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9494310295$200.00
07-25 08:59Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
07-15 12:05Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?BUY0.8788993824$50.00
07-15 11:25Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8191808182$50.00
04-16 12:21Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.640999955$5.00
04-15 12:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL0.23$0.67
04-14 12:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL0.43$1.29
04-14 12:42Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?SELL0.1$0.58
04-13 12:17Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?BUY0.48$2.70
04-13 12:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.78$3.60
04-13 12:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY0.71$4.15
04-12 13:16US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.71$7.93
04-09 12:23Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.61$10.55