mrpink42069
0xd9e6e87db38a4886e4002e59f4d49bd90da5819f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $12.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.33at 0.257Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
- +$62.14at 0.139Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$37.40at 0.357Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?
- +$29.37at 0.535US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
- +$11.13at 0.310Will Trump say "Mineral" during tariff event on April 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:40 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 12:06 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 12:06 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $9.97 |
| 03-23 17:21 | Will Trump deport 200-300k people? | BUY | 0.2190476063 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 17:21 | Will Trump deport less than 200k people? | BUY | 0.1015781776 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |
| 03-22 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $0.97 |
| 03-22 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.98 |
| 03-22 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.99 |
| 03-22 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $0.99 |
| 03-22 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 12:14 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |