heiwuya
0xd9e2c2c9f155c5c5d2dd180b93fb63ae41f66de2
- Realised P&L
- $29.11
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $15.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.774 | 0.115 | $15.34 | −$87.94 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.97 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.37at 0.744Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
- +$30.60at 0.690Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$24.31at 0.750Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$20.19at 0.385GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$19.10at 0.840Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 08:18 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $99.23 |
| 06-29 02:10 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8395713116 | $82.06 |
| 06-29 02:09 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5408476535 | $70.19 |
| 06-08 04:29 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $13.73 |
| 05-30 12:47 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $73.31 |
| 05-30 08:59 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9371230317 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 15:43 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3852922287 | $50.00 |
| 05-07 07:03 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999963 | $20.00 |
| 03-17 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $1.89 |
| 03-17 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $0.97 |
| 03-17 07:46 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $247.44 |
| 03-14 08:18 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7744510658 | $103.28 |
| 03-14 08:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.94 |
| 03-14 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 07:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.9839345751 | $107.52 |