XFirm
0xd9e1fb30835992215a18c895385859518f4b0b68
- Realised P&L
- $-46.45
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $26.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.110Will Fresno State Bulldogs Win the 2026 Pac-12 Championship?
- +$0.12at 0.971ITF Pergamino: Victoria Bosio vs Josefina Estevez
- +$0.10at 0.952Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- +$0.10at 0.952San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas
- +$0.08at 0.962Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 20:12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.987 | $1.99 |
| 08-15 20:55 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.985 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:55 | Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.31 |
| 08-01 03:55 | Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.43 |
| 07-30 21:16 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.95 | $1.99 |
| 07-30 21:05 | Troian Andrii vs. Lobanov Arsenii | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Hryhorenko Stepan vs. Troian Andrii | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Hryhorenko Stepan vs. Lobanov Arsenii | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | ITF Savitaipale: Alexandra Biot vs Dune Vaissaud | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Troian Andrii vs. Volkov Yurii | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.23 | $0.47 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ENCE Prospects - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.48 | $0.99 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Kravets Yaroslav vs. Haiseniuk Ruslan | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Zeniuk Dmytro vs. Kravets Yaroslav | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-30 21:04 | Kozachuk Ivan vs. Haiseniuk Ruslan | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |