IASNumberF1V3
0xd9e100a2043691f670219e5ca5dafb516c803fc9
- Realised P&L
- $-583.94
- Volume
- $290.1k
- Markets traded
- 851
- Open portfolio
- $45.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded851
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.41at 0.026Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
- +$95.26at 0.114Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$83.67at 0.401Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
- +$74.38at 0.148Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$56.47at 0.544Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.75 |
| 10-18 04:58 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 23:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.30 |
| 10-17 23:46 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.68 |
| 10-17 19:48 | Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-17 19:47 | Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 10-17 17:19 | Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.31 |
| 10-17 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.76 |
| 10-17 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4965 | $9.93 |
| 10-17 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.44 |
| 10-17 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.82407 | $65.93 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | SELL | 0.0206002 | $2.06 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-16 15:16 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-16 13:30 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.03227 | $3.23 |