0xD9d9cf7CC740F7bBC510001ae3f44E6c21E4e849-1781250772910
0xd9d9cf7cc740f7bbc510001ae3f44e6c21e4e849
- Realised P&L
- $-90.94
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $7.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.605 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.030 | $3.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.87at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.22at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$2.84at 0.986Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$0.94at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$-102.10at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 13:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9799999931 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 20:00 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5029999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 19:59 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6138006122 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 08:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 08:31 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 08:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2577742778 | $50.00 |