PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD9d9cf7CC740F7bBC510001ae3f44E6c21E4e849-1781250772910

0xd9d9cf7cc740f7bbc510001ae3f44e6c21e4e849

Realised P&L
$-90.94
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$7.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6100.605$4.96$0.04
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.0500.030$3.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18? · No0.3300.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.2580.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 13:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?BUY0.3299999967$50.00
08-18 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.689999999$100.00
08-18 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.7$100.00
07-28 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
07-24 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.99$100.00
07-24 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.9799999931$100.00
07-22 20:00Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.5029999976$100.00
07-22 19:59Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?BUY0.05$5.00
07-20 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.6138006122$100.00
06-12 08:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999972$50.00
06-12 08:31Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
06-12 08:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2577742778$50.00