PolyBot

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Traders

Adam95

0xd9d98b54a501c239cebb3c5a673f6aaca7732f53

Realised P&L
$-1.67
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$62.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.715$35.75+$15.75
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4300.460$5.35+$0.35
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.2600.255$4.90−$0.10
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0020.002$4.46−$0.54
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0040.004$3.50−$0.50
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1600.275$3.44+$1.44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1760.166$2.83−$0.17
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.1700.075$2.21−$2.79
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$10.00
Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$5.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:55Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.1759999953$3.00
11-01 22:45Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$4.00
11-01 22:43Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
11-01 22:43Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.002243316$5.00
10-16 21:46Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-12 16:54Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$2.00
10-12 16:52Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
05-28 23:14Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4$20.00
02-14 14:21Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0561963811$5.00
01-29 01:34Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.32$5.00
09-29 21:14Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.003$2.00
09-29 21:13Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.002$2.00
09-29 21:13Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.002$2.00
09-29 21:13Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.003$3.00
09-15 03:05Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.003$2.00