Adam95
0xd9d98b54a501c239cebb3c5a673f6aaca7732f53
- Realised P&L
- $-1.67
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $62.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?
- +$-2.00at 0.035Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$-7.50at 0.150Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:55 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1759999953 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002243316 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 21:46 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 16:54 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 16:52 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 23:14 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 02-14 14:21 | Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0561963811 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 01:34 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:14 | Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 21:13 | Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 21:13 | Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 21:13 | Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 03:05 | Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |