PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pmc-munrrah-01

0xd9d090cb823b4ee8e6ad5be388d94ca3206a8b59

Realised P&L
$-31.47
Volume
$65.6k
Markets traded
743
Open portfolio
$6.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded743
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14? · Yes0.0200.041$3.88+$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14? · Yes0.0500.018$1.75−$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.0700.002$0.20−$6.80
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.0600.001$0.05−$5.95
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14? · Yes0.0200.001$0.05−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 14? · Yes0.0200.001$0.05−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.0600.001$0.05−$5.95
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 14? · Yes0.0200.001$0.05−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15? · Yes0.0300.001$0.05−$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.0300.001$0.05−$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 14? · Yes0.0040.001$0.05−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14? · Yes0.0500.001$0.05−$4.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 10? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 02:40Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 2?SELL0.92$18.40
09-24 20:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?SELL0.11$1.92
09-24 20:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?SELL0.11$1.00
09-24 20:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?SELL0.1063655462$1.52
09-24 02:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?SELL0.91$3.19
09-24 02:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?SELL0.92$88.76
09-18 18:30Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.04$4.00
09-09 00:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?SELL0.262$26.20
09-09 00:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?SELL0.89$88.98
09-08 16:04Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 8?SELL0.001$0.09
09-08 16:04Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 8?SELL0.002$0.02
09-07 12:26Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?SELL0.06$5.70
08-31 12:47Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 31?SELL0.09$1.35
08-20 02:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.8099999757$1.00
08-20 01:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00