0xD9C971629065bfd897Db637070f1Fd1BD4787E10-1763109083094
0xd9c971629065bfd897db637070f1fd1bd4787e10
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 827
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded827
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.015Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$4.7kat 0.020Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$1.6kat 0.818Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$1.5kat 0.378Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
- +$1.2kat 0.306Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:49 | Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien | BUY | 0.43 | $316.36 |
| 10-27 20:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.6770531445 | $294.55 |
| 10-27 20:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.72 | $21.60 |
| 10-27 17:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.68 | $33.99 |
| 10-27 17:28 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $85.62 |
| 10-27 17:13 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $57.86 |
| 10-27 17:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-27 17:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 10-27 17:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 10-27 17:09 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 10-27 16:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.8k |
| 10-23 05:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.47 | $103.40 |
| 10-22 19:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.3763298969 | $146.02 |
| 10-21 19:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $717.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.69 |