PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD9C971629065bfd897Db637070f1Fd1BD4787E10-1763109083094

0xd9c971629065bfd897db637070f1fd1bd4787e10

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
827
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded827
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.9160.956$1.4k+$59.13
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien · Joaquin Aguilar0.4300.475$351.84+$33.33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3760.436$173.62+$24.09
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$360.00
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz · Martin Landaluce0.3100.000$0.00−$465.00
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.0400.000$0.00−$100.00
Wuhan Tennis Open: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva · Yulia Starodubtseva0.2810.000$0.00−$197.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$249.98
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.1080.000$0.00−$170.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.1470.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$110.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$70.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.4950.000$0.00−$100.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$81.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:49Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo DellienBUY0.43$316.36
10-27 20:01Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.6770531445$294.55
10-27 20:01Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.72$21.60
10-27 17:49Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.68$33.99
10-27 17:28Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$85.62
10-27 17:13Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$57.86
10-27 17:12Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$35.50
10-27 17:11Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$21.29
10-27 17:11Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$21.29
10-27 17:09Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.71$17.75
10-27 16:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.96$1.8k
10-23 05:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?BUY0.47$103.40
10-22 19:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.3763298969$146.02
10-21 19:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.956$717.00
10-19 13:21Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.91$24.69