Bukrev
0xd9c8a8f604f9c12afc3d69a01b0e5a860cb3c658
- Realised P&L
- $726.18
- Volume
- $653.0k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $102.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $84.17 | −$39.56 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $11.24 | −$2.90 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.140 | 0.050 | $4.00 | −$7.20 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $2.20 | −$3.00 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $1.07 | −$2.40 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.64at 0.344Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
- +$279.00at 0.137US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$275.60at 0.005Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$258.41at 0.169Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$258.10at 0.190Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 11:24 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.19 |
| 08-21 12:36 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.23 |
| 08-21 12:35 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.004859995 | $3.47 |
| 08-21 12:28 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0057848294 | $0.99 |
| 08-21 12:28 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0027669547 | $2.44 |
| 08-18 15:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | SELL | 0.1070341022 | $26.87 |
| 08-18 01:49 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.89 |
| 08-14 17:51 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | SELL | 0.2271963005 | $60.18 |
| 08-14 17:02 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 08-10 14:34 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $40.85 |
| 08-10 11:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $80.15 |
| 08-09 22:37 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | BUY | 0.213 | $8.54 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.98 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | BUY | 0.1574661922 | $35.40 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $30.79 |