duyr
0xd9c3039003a0364c463bf35c58db16d7f93464aa
- Realised P&L
- $11.72
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $34.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.921 | 0.917 | $34.63 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.624Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.69at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.58at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
- +$0.49at 0.930Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$0.47at 0.987Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $34.78 |
| 09-20 03:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.90 |
| 09-17 15:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.66 |
| 09-13 04:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.66 |
| 09-09 14:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.988 | $32.60 |
| 09-08 03:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 09-07 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.987 | $32.57 |
| 09-06 14:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.977 | $31.26 |
| 09-04 14:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 09-02 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.993 | $6.95 |
| 09-02 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $23.82 |
| 09-01 15:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.88 |
| 08-29 03:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $30.38 |
| 08-27 14:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.986 | $29.58 |
| 08-26 13:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 26? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.75 |