happyboybcn
0xd9bda9af8a39a91e48d6b984e707d5ca81fd4459
- Realised P&L
- $-603.14
- Volume
- $124.8k
- Markets traded
- 598
- Open portfolio
- $221.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded598
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $100.95 | +$50.45 |
| Saturn FDV above $600M one day after launch · No | 0.930 | 0.917 | $27.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.864 | 0.460 | $18.82 | −$16.54 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.515 | $16.01 | −$9.58 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.702 | $14.03 | −$4.27 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.695 | $13.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.995 | 0.991 | $10.90 | −$0.05 |
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.991 | 0.973 | $9.72 | −$0.18 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.385 | $7.70 | −$9.50 |
| Saturn FDV above $1B one day after launch · Yes | 0.060 | 0.025 | $1.50 | −$2.10 |
| Saturn FDV above $800M one day after launch · Yes | 0.050 | 0.022 | $0.66 | −$0.84 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$50.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.31at 0.783Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?
- +$8.47at 0.977Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?
- +$7.40at 0.284Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch
- +$5.60at 0.634Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.04at 0.985Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 15:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.95 |
| 10-18 13:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-17 14:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 07:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-15 05:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-14 05:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-13 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 10-12 06:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-11 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 10-10 05:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 05:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 19:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-07 05:24 | Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 10-06 19:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |