PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happyboybcn

0xd9bda9af8a39a91e48d6b984e707d5ca81fd4459

Realised P&L
$-603.14
Volume
$124.8k
Markets traded
598
Open portfolio
$221.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded598
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5001.000$100.95+$50.45
Saturn FDV above $600M one day after launch · No0.9300.917$27.62−$0.38
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.8640.460$18.82−$16.54
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8230.515$16.01−$9.58
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9150.702$14.03−$4.27
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.8500.695$13.90−$3.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No0.9950.991$10.90−$0.05
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9910.973$9.72−$0.18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.385$7.70−$9.50
Saturn FDV above $1B one day after launch · Yes0.0600.025$1.50−$2.10
Saturn FDV above $800M one day after launch · Yes0.0500.022$0.66−$0.84
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.001$0.05−$50.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 15:15Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?BUY0.995$10.95
10-18 13:21Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?BUY0.997$9.97
10-17 14:25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$5.00
10-16 07:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?BUY0.999$9.99
10-15 05:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?BUY0.997$9.97
10-14 05:16Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18?BUY0.996$9.96
10-13 05:15Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18?BUY0.993$9.93
10-12 06:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 12?BUY0.998$9.98
10-11 11:12Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?BUY0.994$9.94
10-10 05:23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.999$9.99
10-09 13:53Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.999$9.99
10-08 05:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 8?BUY0.999$5.00
10-07 19:55Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 7?BUY0.999$9.99
10-07 05:24Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.991$9.91
10-06 19:23Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on October 6?BUY0.999$9.99