PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd9b2a7d29023996d16D56D613D9cEE92a237e198-1768394745948

0xd9b2a7d29023996d16d56d613d9cee92a237e198

Realised P&L
$84.02
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$112.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.075$30.00+$10.00
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.7900.875$22.15+$2.15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Cup? · No0.8910.905$20.31+$0.31
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1200.075$12.50−$7.50
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes0.1500.080$10.67−$9.33
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes0.1000.046$6.90−$8.10
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes0.1800.055$6.11−$13.89
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup? · Yes0.1180.105$3.41−$0.41
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$50.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.3070.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 18:06Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.56$8.00
08-31 20:13Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.0153210576$12.98
08-31 18:46Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.699999993$10.00
08-29 01:50Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.05$20.00
08-29 01:50Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
08-29 01:50Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
08-29 01:44Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Cup?BUY0.1$20.00
08-29 01:43Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup?BUY0.1176470588$20.00
08-29 01:43Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Cup?BUY0.149999994$20.00
08-29 01:42Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-29 01:42Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Cup?BUY0.8910891071$20.00
08-29 01:38Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.071$5.68
08-29 01:38Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.062$6.20
08-29 01:37Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.062$4.96
08-29 01:37Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.025$2.50