0xd9b2a7d29023996d16D56D613D9cEE92a237e198-1768394745948
0xd9b2a7d29023996d16d56d613d9cee92a237e198
- Realised P&L
- $84.02
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $112.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.45at 0.051Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$79.88at 0.289Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$35.22at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$22.24at 0.477Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$19.21at 0.347Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 18:06 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.00 |
| 08-31 20:13 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0153210576 | $12.98 |
| 08-31 18:46 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 01:50 | Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:50 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:50 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:44 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:43 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.1176470588 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:43 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:42 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:42 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.8910891071 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 01:38 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.071 | $5.68 |
| 08-29 01:38 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.062 | $6.20 |
| 08-29 01:37 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.062 | $4.96 |
| 08-29 01:37 | Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.50 |