MajaMaja
0xd9af409dbd85e09b1eda1f35c0b6d00cd7c15157
- Realised P&L
- $-136.82
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $9.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.987 | $9.32 | +$0.02 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Rangers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Stars vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.98 |
| Stars vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) · Devils | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) · Golden Knights | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Sabres vs. Penguins · Sabres | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Jets vs. Capitals · Jets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays · Blue Jays | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-18? · No | 0.712 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Predators vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Utah · Utah | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.57at 0.280Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?
- +$72.79at 0.835Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13?
- +$66.67at 0.750Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?
- +$42.86at 0.700Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?
- +$30.03at 0.870Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9839999992 | $9.30 |
| 05-31 18:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $250.00 |
| 05-31 18:25 | Will BNB dip to $600 in May? | BUY | 0.9983844941 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 22:18 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.00 |
| 03-19 22:17 | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9770565534 | $50.00 |
| 03-19 22:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $110.00 |
| 11-26 15:34 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.921349749 | $120.23 |
| 11-25 20:15 | Stars vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.4699999922 | $11.98 |
| 11-25 20:15 | Canucks vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 11-25 20:15 | Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 20:14 | Senators vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6084787996 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 20:14 | Canadiens vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 20:13 | Canadiens vs. Utah | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 20:13 | Sharks vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 11-25 20:13 | Wild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |