0xd99a5D8Bd08D9fFc91dC42905DD84504b9AC94F6-1776518815520
0xd99a5d8bd08d9ffc91dc42905dd84504b9ac94f6
- Realised P&L
- $-166.82
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $103.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26? · Yes | 0.936 | 0.998 | $103.31 | +$6.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.41at 0.766Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?
- +$1.43at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26?
- +$0.15at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?
- +$-175.81at 0.009QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.9365808231 | $97.00 |
| 09-26 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99547015 | $97.55 |
| 09-26 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9796625164 | $96.00 |
| 09-26 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9983396707 | $95.99 |
| 05-02 21:22 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $13.16 |
| 05-01 13:20 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.0494208494 | $112.00 |
| 05-01 09:33 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.067688659 | $10.89 |
| 04-20 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.80 |
| 04-19 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19? | BUY | 0.7019011373 | $12.61 |
| 04-19 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19? | BUY | 0.8312423704 | $11.20 |