PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DoctorDegen

0xd99638ad0f0b9889ec7789c88d48036950a6ce40

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$155.3k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$0.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.001$0.83−$816.09
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.001$0.09−$30.66
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$77.70
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$40.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$78.54
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$332.87
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5 · Over0.5600.000$0.00−$151.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$74.95
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$135.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$6.87
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$19.21
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners · Over0.6180.000$0.00−$985.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 16:581win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.1796785506$30.74
10-31 16:561win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.4896618357$101.36
10-31 16:53Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3221534579$852.00
10-27 17:33Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.648$550.80
10-27 17:32Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.647$272.42
10-27 17:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.63898432$815.03
07-11 21:27Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$176.50
07-11 21:26Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
07-01 17:20England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1899999268$1.79
06-28 16:16South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersBUY0.6179167228$985.54
06-28 05:11South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5BUY0.5599999987$151.00
06-27 10:50DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5BUY0.4499999997$242.14
06-27 10:49DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 2.5BUY0.24$147.00
06-27 10:48Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5BUY0.5399999996$212.00
06-26 20:52Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$313.97