DoctorDegen
0xd99638ad0f0b9889ec7789c88d48036950a6ce40
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $155.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $0.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$702.10at 0.349Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$462.15at 0.245DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 2.5
- +$314.21at 0.507Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
- +$291.95at 0.457DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5
- +$255.61at 0.700Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:58 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1796785506 | $30.74 |
| 10-31 16:56 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4896618357 | $101.36 |
| 10-31 16:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3221534579 | $852.00 |
| 10-27 17:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.648 | $550.80 |
| 10-27 17:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.647 | $272.42 |
| 10-27 17:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.63898432 | $815.03 |
| 07-11 21:27 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.32 | $176.50 |
| 07-11 21:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 17:20 | England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1899999268 | $1.79 |
| 06-28 16:16 | South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners | BUY | 0.6179167228 | $985.54 |
| 06-28 05:11 | South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $151.00 |
| 06-27 10:50 | DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4499999997 | $242.14 |
| 06-27 10:49 | DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $147.00 |
| 06-27 10:48 | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $212.00 |
| 06-26 20:52 | Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $313.97 |