0xd9916821fc548bfcabc2fbebb052b43fdafdd3fa
0xd9916821fc548bfcabc2fbebb052b43fdafdd3fa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.45
- Volume
- $161.91
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $5.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.345 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.395 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · No | 0.520 | 0.430 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.500 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.505 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.215 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.09at 0.339Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.55at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.470S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?
- +$2.22at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:45 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:32 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:52 | Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599999594 | $2.04 |
| 09-23 13:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.04 |
| 09-23 05:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $2.04 |
| 09-22 20:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999347 | $2.04 |
| 09-22 12:27 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.04 |
| 09-22 02:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.5399999682 | $2.04 |
| 09-21 18:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999859 | $2.04 |