0xd98f58f9cb301a39b6f857459e4db880a8c0af02
0xd98f58f9cb301a39b6f857459e4db880a8c0af02
- Realised P&L
- $1.49
- Volume
- $451.06
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.69at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:14 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 07:04 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:58 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2049999908 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:27 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:27 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:47 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |