PolyBot

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Traders

Retippppaksksk

0xd98e5c8d8de5921fac5b24f92ef913acdee69bb3

Realised P&L
$261.82
Volume
$40.6k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$308.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7300.265$308.56−$541.44
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.6490.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00−$10.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.5290.000$0.00−$141.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$11.00
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$130.00
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.2830.000$0.00−$4.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.8050.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 04:08Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4299999991$130.00
09-12 04:07Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299980531$850.00
09-02 10:48Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.893$500.00
08-12 04:16Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.7444783878$87.09
08-12 04:14SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8415926397$560.00
08-12 04:11Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.745999999$95.00
08-12 04:10Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?SELL0.9658491141$748.43
08-10 14:39Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?BUY0.7885052974$301.78
08-10 14:38AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.8196015078$152.20
08-10 14:38AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.8328416216$154.08
08-10 13:35Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?BUY0.7124383573$259.39
08-10 13:35AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.8800283333$264.01
08-10 13:34Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?BUY0.6999999964$19.66
08-10 13:33AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.89$17.80
08-10 13:33Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?SELL0.31$2.26