0xd989fc32c4ed481d5812bffd83067a268fad8a5b
0xd989fc32c4ed481d5812bffd83067a268fad8a5b
- Realised P&L
- $-14.16
- Volume
- $217.73
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $45.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.690 | $7.55 | +$0.55 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.670 | 0.670 | $7.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? · Yes | 0.759 | 0.745 | $6.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No | 0.494 | 0.470 | $6.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.620 | $6.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.555 | $6.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? · No | 0.390 | 0.445 | $2.23 | +$0.28 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-10-28? · No | 0.400 | 0.290 | $1.38 | −$0.52 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? · No | 0.140 | 0.155 | $1.15 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.79at 0.442Will Zamora CF win on 2026-10-28?
- +$2.54at 0.492Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-28?
- +$2.19at 0.562Will CD Eldense win on 2026-10-29?
- +$1.00at 0.798Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?
- +$0.66at 0.502Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:17 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.063 | $0.78 |
| 11-01 21:17 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.2029999989 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.58 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? | BUY | 0.8399999952 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Will Kellie Sloane be the next Premier of New South Wales? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.91 |
| 11-01 12:31 | Will Kellie Sloane be the next Premier of New South Wales? | BUY | 0.7699999824 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 10:36 | Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.71 |
| 11-01 10:31 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? | BUY | 0.759067414 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 10:30 | Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.83 |
| 11-01 08:01 | Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.11 |
| 11-01 07:41 | Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.91 |
| 11-01 00:32 | Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2899999946 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 00:32 | Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2899999946 | $2.70 |
| 10-31 18:16 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.06 |
| 10-31 17:50 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $7.00 |