Johan-Cruijff
0xd98993ee0d52a9976ceadc5162be82b43d690087
- Realised P&L
- $-194.37
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $6.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.035 | $4.31 | −$2.19 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.035 | $2.30 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.84at 0.310Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
- +$36.02at 0.436Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
- +$11.51at 0.010US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
- +$1.05at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 22?
- +$0.30at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.044 | $5.50 |
| 09-09 15:14 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 10:08 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.22 |
| 09-09 09:55 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.0230006157 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:40 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1031377272 | $32.97 |
| 09-08 16:25 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1730647194 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 09:32 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.82 |
| 09-08 05:44 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1820020215 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 05:44 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 20:33 | Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0471177867 | $7.54 |
| 09-04 19:27 | Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.093676815 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 21:34 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $20.04 |
| 09-03 21:02 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-03 21:01 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 20:57 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $15.00 |