PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0xd98296478ea001d3cb835d5c5a9b8372becd5ac5

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$202.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0780.040$202.57$197.43
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$900.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? · Up0.2100.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:38Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999988$200.00
07-15 19:11England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4549999993$200.00
06-21 12:16Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.007$23.50
06-03 10:22Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1299480202$200.00
06-03 10:21Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0820200585$300.00
06-02 13:50Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0679973385$100.00
06-01 14:05Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2199999996$400.00
11-09 01:35Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.63$1.3k
07-07 13:42Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.2480906099$900.00
06-04 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?BUY0.2099999964$40.00
06-03 04:01Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?SELL0.8713502893$275.62
06-03 03:48Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?BUY0.8707258082$100.00
06-03 02:25Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?BUY0.7445284652$150.00
06-01 22:20Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?SELL0.946$1.4k
06-01 21:52Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?SELL0.8148099459$1.2k