PolyBot

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Traders

0x7199ac8636ffcba1af3d21c10eb8a23c5b4930aa

0xd980f9444a890f4624d38d66063633c84bebf637

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$75.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$9.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1420.007$9.50$170.50
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$2.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 13:34Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1421587597$180.00
07-25 07:28Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.26$180.52
07-23 13:24Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3899999977$65.35
07-23 11:54Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.43$14.57
07-20 16:49Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.2599999993$176.00
07-16 23:29Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.32$3.00
07-16 21:49Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3099999989$171.00
06-14 21:22Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?SELL0.0566870563$163.36
06-14 21:21Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?SELL0.066$6.94
06-14 20:24Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?BUY0.2597715472$12.51
06-14 18:40Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?BUY0.418163644$5.00
05-24 20:48Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8619998777$4.65
10-29 19:02Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?BUY0.51$306.32
10-29 10:03Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?SELL0.1947870944$1.4k
10-18 16:37Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?BUY0.14$256.79