PolyBot

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Traders

Salgrin

0xd97a3b1ae85e1f90a8785c58cef8c9d89f5af174

Realised P&L
$115.88
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9200.981$266.44+$16.44
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? · Yes0.5740.665$231.41+$31.79
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election? · Yes0.7660.490$204.80−$115.25
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election? · Yes0.6380.625$191.16−$4.09
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.8800.997$179.37+$20.97
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? · Yes0.6710.770$138.60+$17.80
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.7550.895$112.58+$17.64
Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? · Yes0.9800.951$109.57−$3.30
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? · Yes0.7530.705$106.38−$7.32
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? · Yes0.7040.620$86.80−$11.75
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election? · Yes0.8030.575$84.53−$33.57
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election? · No0.8270.925$35.15+$3.72
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election? · Yes0.6760.840$26.88+$5.24
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? · Yes0.6270.510$15.29−$3.50
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? · Yes0.6400.660$13.20+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:41Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?BUY0.5485714286$115.20
10-11 16:10Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.7547698545$94.94
10-11 11:28Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?BUY0.9796598681$112.88
10-11 11:14Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?BUY0.8271052632$31.43
10-11 11:08Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?BUY0.64$12.80
10-11 11:07Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?BUY0.6070338983$71.63
10-11 11:04Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election?BUY0.67625$21.64
10-11 11:03Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?BUY0.6266655552$18.79
10-11 11:03Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?BUY0.8034013605$118.10
10-11 11:01Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?BUY0.79$43.45
10-11 11:00Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?BUY0.768$19.20
10-11 11:00Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?BUY0.7583333333$22.75
10-11 10:59Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?BUY0.6$12.00
10-11 10:58Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?BUY0.71$14.27
10-11 10:57Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?BUY0.6711111111$120.80