Salgrin
0xd97a3b1ae85e1f90a8785c58cef8c9d89f5af174
- Realised P&L
- $115.88
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.64at 0.667Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- +$13.37at 0.821Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?
- +$4.96at 0.816Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?
- +$4.09at 0.942Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
- +$4.05at 0.942Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:41 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | BUY | 0.5485714286 | $115.20 |
| 10-11 16:10 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7547698545 | $94.94 |
| 10-11 11:28 | Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | BUY | 0.9796598681 | $112.88 |
| 10-11 11:14 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election? | BUY | 0.8271052632 | $31.43 |
| 10-11 11:08 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-11 11:07 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | BUY | 0.6070338983 | $71.63 |
| 10-11 11:04 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election? | BUY | 0.67625 | $21.64 |
| 10-11 11:03 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? | BUY | 0.6266655552 | $18.79 |
| 10-11 11:03 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election? | BUY | 0.8034013605 | $118.10 |
| 10-11 11:01 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? | BUY | 0.79 | $43.45 |
| 10-11 11:00 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? | BUY | 0.768 | $19.20 |
| 10-11 11:00 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? | BUY | 0.7583333333 | $22.75 |
| 10-11 10:59 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-11 10:58 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.27 |
| 10-11 10:57 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? | BUY | 0.6711111111 | $120.80 |