lpbcq
0xd979109fb93f3b1305b36ca6b3c9304706684a18
- Realised P&L
- $93.21
- Volume
- $78.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,523
- Open portfolio
- $108.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.27at 0.009Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$81.74at 0.140Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
- +$51.92at 0.029Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$49.77at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
- +$34.09at 0.276Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:16 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0409173 | $4.09 |
| 10-20 16:22 | Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.108 | $2.16 |
| 10-20 16:19 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-20 16:18 | Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-20 16:16 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-20 16:12 | Will Nettspend be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-20 16:11 | Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-20 16:11 | Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-20 16:01 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 16:00 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-20 15:59 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-20 15:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-29 12:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.557 | $16.71 |
| 09-29 12:16 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.078 | $15.60 |
| 09-25 15:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |