lpbcq
0xd979109fb93f3b1305b36ca6b3c9304706684a18
- Realised P&L
- $394.35
- Volume
- $74.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,489
- Open portfolio
- $172.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,489
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.35at 0.008Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$81.79at 0.140Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
- +$51.92at 0.029Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$49.99at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
- +$34.48at 0.270Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 14:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 07-22 15:31 | Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.139 | $7.09 |
| 07-22 15:25 | Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.148 | $1.65 |
| 07-22 15:23 | Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 07-20 13:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20? | SELL | 0.919 | $18.38 |
| 07-19 22:59 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-19 22:58 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-19 22:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-19 17:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-19 16:15 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 16:13 | Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Mexico? | BUY | 0.00487 | $1.46 |
| 07-19 16:13 | Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Mexico? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 07-19 16:12 | Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Belgium? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 16:11 | Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.33 |
| 07-19 16:10 | Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |