0xd97167a45396f2217ded39d5aeda5d0debdb75c9
0xd97167a45396f2217ded39d5aeda5d0debdb75c9
- Realised P&L
- $5.79
- Volume
- $302.66
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $8.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.805 | $5.50 | +$2.29 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.230 | $3.08 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.37at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.94at 0.400Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.369Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$3.28at 0.500Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:18 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.21 |
| 09-23 07:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999473 | $3.21 |
| 09-20 04:09 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999723 | $3.21 |
| 09-19 04:02 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.21 |
| 09-18 02:34 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999557 | $3.21 |
| 09-17 17:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999836 | $3.21 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.409999963 | $3.21 |
| 09-13 22:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999636 | $3.21 |
| 09-12 13:58 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2199999863 | $3.21 |
| 09-08 22:03 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.2099999902 | $3.21 |
| 09-08 08:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799998898 | $3.21 |
| 09-07 23:21 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.21 |
| 09-07 21:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999227 | $3.21 |
| 09-02 23:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999392 | $2.84 |
| 09-01 01:09 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999811 | $3.21 |